The discipline of a fund.
For your own money.
DVRG turns research into a structured capital decision — expected value, scenario probabilities, regime context, and a position size. Not a hot list. Not a newsletter. A process.
See downside clearly.
Understand regime context.
Deploy capital with structure.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All outputs are model-derived. Consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
Final Allowed Allocation
8.9%
Satellite Position
Exec. multiplier applied: 0.70×
(medium conviction regime)
Policy cap 8.4% applied
EV Contribution by Scenario
Modeled Probability Structure
Distribution adjusted for current volatility regime.
Percentile Benchmarks
+7.41%
Expected Value
62nd
EV Percentile
vs calibrated universe
0.49
Risk Efficiency
≥ 0.30 institutional
Volatility-adjusted EV normalized across current regime state.
Interactive demonstration · Illustrative values only
Capital without structure
compounds mistakes.
DVRG started as a research system I built for my own money. I wanted a fund's discipline — probability-weighted outcomes, regime-aware sizing, defined invalidation — without a fund's minimums. My own capital runs through this process. If it breaks, it breaks on me first.
The Problem
Why Most Retail Research Breaks Down
The issue is not effort. Most retail investors research extensively. The issue is structure — or the absence of it.
True Downside Is Never Quantified
Most retail research produces directional opinions, not probability-weighted risk. The actual downside exposure — scenario-weighted, regime-adjusted — stays invisible.
Probability-Weighted Outcomes Are Missing
When research is story-driven, conviction follows narrative. There are no weighted scenarios, no EV computation, no structured outcome model.
Macro Regime Shifts Go Untracked
Capital deployed in one regime can be mispositioned in the next. Most approaches treat allocation as static — ignoring the regime context underlying each setup.
Capital Misalignment Compounds Risk
Without a unified allocation framework, position sizes are arbitrary. The same capital that should be protected in a risk-off environment stays deployed.
Before DVRG
After DVRG
DVRG structures what brokers and screeners ignore.
The Shift
The Edge Comes From Structure
Institutional investors do not win by finding better information. They win by applying a more disciplined process to the same information.
Anchor to valuation.
Every position is evaluated against intrinsic value — not price momentum or narrative strength.
Respect regime shifts.
Macro and volatility context governs deployment. The same setup that warrants 8% in a favorable regime warrants 1% in a stressed one.
Size positions probabilistically.
Allocation is derived from expected value and stop probability — not instinct, not equal-weighting.
Separate thesis from price.
Conviction is calibrated against signal stability and scenario structure, not the price action that followed.
Monitor invalidation triggers.
Every position has defined thesis-break conditions. The framework disciplines exit as rigorously as entry.
What Structure Replaces
DVRG systematizes that process.
Process
How DVRG Thinks Like a Fund
Structural First — Is the business durable?
Evaluate moat quality, earnings consistency, and balance sheet resilience before any valuation work begins.
Valuation Anchor — Is there margin of safety?
Compute blended fair value across multiple methodologies. Identify where current price sits relative to intrinsic value.
Positioning Context — Is capital accumulating?
Assess institutional activity, sentiment regime, and signal alignment. Determine whether smart money is building or reducing exposure.
Regime Awareness — Is macro supportive?
Evaluate volatility state, liquidity conditions, and macro regime. Adjust conviction and deployment accordingly.
Capital Bias — How large should you be?
Translate expected value and regime multiplier into a probability-weighted allocation size. Enforce policy cap.
Risk-Off Example
Allocation Compressed to 0.8%
Elevated noise regime + low EV → execution multiplier near-zero. The engine disciplines out the trade before capital is committed.
0.8%
Final Allocation
The Engine
Capital Allocation, Made Systematic
Every analysis produces a binding allocation output. Not a recommendation — a structured capital decision derived from signal, probability, and regime state.
Avoiding one 20% allocation mistake
pays for years of disciplined research.
DVRG is not built to create activity.
It is built to protect capital.
Pricing
Start Free. Stay for the Process.
Two full reports free, no card required. Then pick the depth your process demands.
Same structured analysis. Different allocation depth.
Starter
Structured research for disciplined investors.
5 analyses · ~$4.00/report
- 5 analyses / month
- Structured buy / hold / avoid verdict
- Fair value snapshot & capital range
- Moat score + signal breakdown
- Investment summary + strategic catalysts
- Unlimited watchlist tracking
- Portfolio Intelligence — PM memo & alignment matrix
Investor
Capital allocation framework with portfolio visibility.
15 analyses · ~$2.67/report
- 15 analyses / month
- Everything in Starter
- Probabilistic EV engine + scenario weights
- Stop probability & confidence calibration
- Stability & noise diagnostics
- Full investment thesis + analyst verdict
- Historical pattern framing
- Portfolio Intelligence — edge score, concentration & regime overlay
For systematic capital allocators.
Trader
Advanced portfolio diagnostics and execution discipline.
50 analyses · ~$2.00/report
- 50 analyses / month
- Everything in Investor
- Dynamic position sizing engine
- Portfolio risk & factor exposure
- Tactical entry / exit setup
- Portfolio Intelligence — thematic clustering & regime stress
- Full engine console + advanced appendix
Extended asymmetry modeling + regime conditioning.
What changes by tier
Not sure? Read the sample report first — then decide if the process fits yours.
Audience
Who DVRG Is For
Built For
Not Built For
Clarity
What DVRG Is Not
Precision about what a tool is not builds more trust than what it claims to be.
Not a signal-chasing stock picker
DVRG does not surface trending tickers or chase momentum. Analysis is structurally grounded — valuation-anchored, regime-aware, probabilistic.
Not a momentum alert service
There are no urgency-based calls, hot-take feeds, or buy/sell triggers. Capital decisions are deliberate, not reactive.
Not a trading casino
DVRG is built to reduce activity, not increase it. High-quality allocation means fewer, better-structured positions — not more trades.
Not financial advice
DVRG provides a structured decision framework. You retain full discretion. It informs. You decide.
It is a structured capital framework.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes DVRG different from research tools?
Most research tools optimize for narratives. DVRG optimizes for decisions. It quantifies expected value, scenario probability, and setup stability — then translates that into a structured allocation framework. The output is not a report. It is a capital deployment decision.
Is this investment advice?
No. DVRG provides structured decision infrastructure, not personalized investment advice. Always do your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Can I get a refund if I'm not satisfied?
Yes. We offer a 100% satisfaction guarantee. If you're not satisfied with your first analysis, contact us within 7 days for a full refund, no questions asked.
What stocks can I analyze?
Currently, we support all US-listed stocks (NYSE, NASDAQ). We're working on adding international markets and ETFs.
How is this different from free stock screeners?
Stock screeners show raw data. DVRG translates signal into conviction and conviction into position size. It replaces fragmented research workflows — spreadsheets, screeners, newsletters, analyst reports — with a single structured capital allocation system.
Do analyses get updated over time?
Each analysis is a snapshot in time. You can re-run analysis on the same stock to get an updated decision. All paid plan users receive watchlist alerts when significant changes are detected.